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Friday, September 11, 2009

How to Approach the Foreign Exchange Market

By Damian Papworth

The foreign exchange market is mystifying to many people. There is good reason for this, since these financial markets are among the riskiest in which to trade. This article will explore the topic of the foreign exchange market, what makes it so risky and how to understand it a little better.

What exactly does foreign exchange mean? What are the nuts and bolts of this market? Quite simply, it's the money used in different countries around the world. An investor buys money (known as currency) from one country with the sale of money from another. Without this transaction process, the global economy would stop. Whether you know it or not, you have probably engaged in the foreign exchange market already. In fact, it may be an everyday occurrence for you.

Maybe it was in the course of a vacation out of the country, or on a business trip, that you had to use local money for transactions. Whether you were operating with traveler's cheques, hard cash or on credit, during the course of any transaction there was an exchange that took place. Right away you will realize that the FX Market has been a part of your life.

Often, we are involved in the exchange market indirectly, as consumers who purchase goods from another country. Anything imported was either bought or sold with an exchange in currency. Next, a calculation by the importer will set the price for the foreign goods in the country where it will be sold, taking the entire scale of exchange into account. While you might have forgotten that it took this sort of arrangement for foreign goods to make their way to local stores, it happens every day of the year. The FX market has everyone involved, from tourists to exporters, from consumers to importers. The exchange of currencies makes it happen.

Part of the confusion surrounding the FX market is the fluctuation of currency. As with the price of most items on indices, supply versus demand factors heavily in the equation. As a certain currency is wanted and demanded on the market, the price will rise, as sellers realize they have something with which to bargain. Buyers are willing to pay more, supporting the whole transaction. On the other hand, as a currency ends up heavy on the supply end, anyone wishing to dump it will have to accept a lower price. This part of currency exchange makes sense when you stop to consider it.

One of the most difficult concepts to grasp is why certain currencies are so volatile. At times, even the experts are left scratching their heads as well, watching the waves of supply and demand with baffled looks on their faces. To succeed in the FX Markets, traders need to keep many different factors in mind and invest with experience, but answers aren't as simple as "yes" or "no" in this game. Formulas are just as scarce, so the more insight a trader has and the more research they've done, the better their chances.

The currency figures of a particular country represent the economic value of that country, thus compared against that of another country. When you start to consider the endless number of factors which can affect an economy in one direction or another, and how some of them defy all logic, you will see the dilemma of anyone who is trading currency for a living.

Of course, one country's economy is only one part of the overall equation. The strength of the other country's economy is equally important. It doesn't do you a tremendous amount of good to be the master of one country when deciding to trade in the currency exchange markets, if you aren't familiar with the other currency you're trading.

Further, your currency trades against all the currencies in the world. So you need to know exactly how each individual economy is going, to compare it against your economy before making a judgement call about whether you think the exchange rate will go up or down.

And if you manage to get all your analysis correct, you then need to hope everyone else does too. Currencies can move on investors opinions, expectations met or expectations not met, global sentiments of what is likely to happen as much as global opinion of what has happened. There are fundamental traders (who look at information such as the above to make their decisions) and technical traders. (who just follow graphs and don't care why) Both trader groups can impact the price as they impact supply and demand.

Some investors will buy currencies with long-range goals in mind. With a big investment in currencies, they use it to support other ventures, which also has an effect on the currency's value.

Then there are Foreign Exchange Trading Strategies which don't need to predict if a currency is going to go up or down. It doesn't matter which way the traded currencies move, they make small incremental profits in both directions.

I hope this helps take some of the mystery out of the FOREX market. - 23212

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