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Sunday, October 25, 2009

You Should Have A Stop Loss (Part I)

By Ahmad Hassam

Do you have a trading system that tells you when to enter the market? Lets assume that you already have got a trading system that tells you where to enter the market. Does this system also tell you where to get out before you enter the trade?

On the road to profitability, lets start by agreeing that we need stop loss exits. In other words are you taking the market conditions into account and willing to give your trade a breathing space so that you dont get whipsawed or repeatedly get stopped out.

Just dont forget, the more trades you place, more commissions or spreads you will have to pay and the higher your trading cost will be. After this agreement on having stop loss exits, we need to determine how to effectively select stop loss exits to avoid excessive stop outs.

The best way to do this is to develop a stop loss strategy that takes into account currency market conditions. So right there you can increase your profitability if you increase the number of winning trades that is your win ration thereby decreasing your trading cost.

A trading system is like having a girl friend. You can only have one girl friend at one time. There need to be a connection between you and your trading system. It truly is like having a personal relationship. Finding the right trading system can be a lengthy process. You must believe in your trading system and have a high degree of trust that it can produce consistent level of profits overtime.

You need to thoroughly test your trading system and try to measure and calculate its parameters accurately. If you have a trading system that isnt working for you and your win ratio and your payoff ratio dont generate a profit over time then you need to rethink your trading strategy. But you must also understand that no trading system can be perfect and no trading system can produce 100% winning trades.

Make adjustments to entry and exits. Determine if it is your trading system that isnt working or is it your trading psychology that is off. Maybe the market conditions have changed and you havent adjusted your trading system to the new market conditions.

Test your trading system overtime. Make a number of trades with your trading system. Just keep this in mind that if you dont give your trading system a chance to work jumping constantly from one trading system to another trading system in search of a holy grail wont help you.

The decision to divorce your trading system should be a carefully thought out one. Divorce of any kind can be emotionally and financially expensive so proceed with caution when divorcing your trading system.

The primary purpose of your trading system is to make you feel comfortable and confident. If you feel comfortable and confident with your trading system, you ultimately will also be profitable.

Its a team work. You will feel confident when your trading system has proven to you and you have proven to your trading system that both can work together. - 23212

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