Know Currency Correlations
Everything is interrelated in the forex markets. It is important for you to understand that the price action of each currency pair is not mutually exclusive.
Most of the currency pairs move relative to one another. Understand that different currency pairs are correlated. These correlations can be positive or negative.
Knowing how strong this relationship is and its direction can help you a lot in developing your trading strategies. Correlation analysis has the potential to become a great trading tool for you.
Correlations are numbers that range between +1 and -1. These numbers are calculated based on past pricing data between different currency pairs. They can provide you with information that can maximize returns, minimize risk and avoid counter productive trading.
Lets use an example to make it clear. Suppose USDJPY and USDCHF has a positive correlation of +0.83 last month. This number is close to +1. It indicates that both pairs move together most of the time in the same direction.
Now, if you are trading USDJPY and USDCHF at the same time, it will double up your position if you take long positions or short positions on both at the same time. If you lose a trade on USDJPY, the chances are that you will also lose the trade on USDCHF 83% of the times.
Lets take another example. EUR/USD and USD/CHF both have a negative correlation of -0.9 in the last month. It means both the pairs were moving in opposite directions last month. If you take long position on one, it is not a good strategy to take short position on the other. It will only double up your position again and increase risk.
If you are investing in two currency pairs simultaneously, try choosing such pairs that have correlations near zero. Zero correlation means the two pairs are independent of each other in price action.
Always keep this in mind that currency markets are constantly changing. The correlation between currency pairs also keep on changing. It would be a good idea to calculate the correlations between pairs on a monthly basis. - 23212
Most of the currency pairs move relative to one another. Understand that different currency pairs are correlated. These correlations can be positive or negative.
Knowing how strong this relationship is and its direction can help you a lot in developing your trading strategies. Correlation analysis has the potential to become a great trading tool for you.
Correlations are numbers that range between +1 and -1. These numbers are calculated based on past pricing data between different currency pairs. They can provide you with information that can maximize returns, minimize risk and avoid counter productive trading.
Lets use an example to make it clear. Suppose USDJPY and USDCHF has a positive correlation of +0.83 last month. This number is close to +1. It indicates that both pairs move together most of the time in the same direction.
Now, if you are trading USDJPY and USDCHF at the same time, it will double up your position if you take long positions or short positions on both at the same time. If you lose a trade on USDJPY, the chances are that you will also lose the trade on USDCHF 83% of the times.
Lets take another example. EUR/USD and USD/CHF both have a negative correlation of -0.9 in the last month. It means both the pairs were moving in opposite directions last month. If you take long position on one, it is not a good strategy to take short position on the other. It will only double up your position again and increase risk.
If you are investing in two currency pairs simultaneously, try choosing such pairs that have correlations near zero. Zero correlation means the two pairs are independent of each other in price action.
Always keep this in mind that currency markets are constantly changing. The correlation between currency pairs also keep on changing. It would be a good idea to calculate the correlations between pairs on a monthly basis. - 23212
About the Author:
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading; stocks and forex. Read about Trend Forex System. Best Forex Signal Service. Download Forex Scalping Cheat Sheets!
posted by X - Men @ 3:03 AM
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