Stop Think About It
As stated in an earlier article, every so often the best movement is standing unmoving. As accurate as that is, after the three month financial recovery we've recorded, it's time to rest and refocus. In a discussion in the remarks of a previous post concerning the new Northrop Grumman contract, this author made the following comment, to the agreement of both parties involved in the conversation, "However, you mentioned we had the biggest rally in history. That is true, and it concerns me to some extent. Our slump hit a fake bottom. I'm afraid that citizens will get too eager and we will hit a fake rally. I'd like to see a sluggish, steady recovery as we restructure a firm basis under it, instead of just setting up one more rollercoaster ride." That is precisely what you are at present seeing.
We are stepping to the left at the moment, and then taking a step or two back to take a look at what we are at present doing. That is healthful and, albeit odd to admit, encouraging. Investors have been plucky but clever and it paid off for three months in a pleasant rally. Investors are now backing off with the news that the signs of economic growth have slowed down and will need more solid evidence of recovery before going further. With the fear of rising interest rates, inflation, the falling value of the US dollar and rising commodity costs, it is understandable and strong.
The slipping dollar and inflation are wordlessly strong concerns. Uncertainties over government arrears (partially created by the total TARP mess) that has began to lead to a little further printing is beginning to drop the worth of the dollar. Merge that with fears of inflation or a increase in interest rates by reason of impending labors by the Federal Reserve to trump inflation and you have a very loose economic organization on which to run a stabilizing economy. Be confident, however, for the reason that investors are doing the correct thing and the financial slowdown after a heavy rally is a big, healthy thing. This gives the economy to even out and build under the new rally before starting another one and gives the government time to begin giving the dollar economic CPR and allows the Fed to control interest rates and inflation. Everyone wins.
"A sideways move in the market is actually a corrective move. You dispose of the overbought state when you move sideways," said Keith Springer, leader of Sacramento-based Capital Financial Advisory Services. Analysts and experts warn that the rally was a bit too much for the economy to deal with and that a small pullback is in order to recap and harden before moving any further. The S&P 500 index incresaed 40% since March, something that normally takes years to do. That is enormous and requires a healthy break to measure the situation and look for optimistic news previous to pressing on.
The major indexes moved less than 1% last week, creating a nice solid halt. "I'm inclined to take the market action the last two weeks as reasonably positive," said Uri Landesman, from ING Investment Management global growth strategies. - 23212
We are stepping to the left at the moment, and then taking a step or two back to take a look at what we are at present doing. That is healthful and, albeit odd to admit, encouraging. Investors have been plucky but clever and it paid off for three months in a pleasant rally. Investors are now backing off with the news that the signs of economic growth have slowed down and will need more solid evidence of recovery before going further. With the fear of rising interest rates, inflation, the falling value of the US dollar and rising commodity costs, it is understandable and strong.
The slipping dollar and inflation are wordlessly strong concerns. Uncertainties over government arrears (partially created by the total TARP mess) that has began to lead to a little further printing is beginning to drop the worth of the dollar. Merge that with fears of inflation or a increase in interest rates by reason of impending labors by the Federal Reserve to trump inflation and you have a very loose economic organization on which to run a stabilizing economy. Be confident, however, for the reason that investors are doing the correct thing and the financial slowdown after a heavy rally is a big, healthy thing. This gives the economy to even out and build under the new rally before starting another one and gives the government time to begin giving the dollar economic CPR and allows the Fed to control interest rates and inflation. Everyone wins.
"A sideways move in the market is actually a corrective move. You dispose of the overbought state when you move sideways," said Keith Springer, leader of Sacramento-based Capital Financial Advisory Services. Analysts and experts warn that the rally was a bit too much for the economy to deal with and that a small pullback is in order to recap and harden before moving any further. The S&P 500 index incresaed 40% since March, something that normally takes years to do. That is enormous and requires a healthy break to measure the situation and look for optimistic news previous to pressing on.
The major indexes moved less than 1% last week, creating a nice solid halt. "I'm inclined to take the market action the last two weeks as reasonably positive," said Uri Landesman, from ING Investment Management global growth strategies. - 23212
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