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Monday, April 6, 2009

Cool Checks On Economic Recovery

By George C. Smith

Inflation can be a dead issue even while the federal government pours money into the economy if the ''velocity of money'' is also dormant. ''Velocity of money'' is how often a dollar is spent over a particular time period.

If the velocity of money is at a standoff there is nothing to inflate. Even if a given stock market vaporizes trillions of dollars as the stock market collapses and misguided government printing money to finance all the politicians ill-conceived paybacks to lobbyist, nothing inflationary will happen until the velocity of money accelerates.

The hare-brained Keynesian theory of economics says that the economy can be ''stimulated'' by deficit spending. However, encouraging a working, affective economy will not be possible if in the red obligations is looming. A country or a household for that matter cannot borrow money to spend its way out of red ink deficit. The situation's risk profile is very similar to a huge Ponzi contrivance gamble with the taxpayer holding an empty bag!

Printing money out of thin air cannot solve the velocity of money problem. When people are not spending money for goods and services, it is because they are a bit shaken. When they are a bit shaken, they become more conservative with their purchases until a confident floor is reached.

The whole system of money changing hands arises out of people preserving their money. In a barter economy, equal units of exchange are essential for a proper yardstick of exchange. So, a standard supply of money was created. If the money supply expanded and the velocity of money was stagnant, inflation would balance it out again.

The federal government created a debt crisis, and consumer confidence will be low until that IOU arrears is paid off. Yet, even in a deflationary situation, the bottom will eventually be reached. The velocity of money will move along in time and the economy will be set to rights again.

At the same time, the government has greatly inflated the amount of money it generates. When the economy eventually takes off and the velocity of money improves, so inflation will also. As consumer confidence grows and all the extra printed money follows after a set number of services and goods, inflation will surge as a consequence.

Nonetheless, here is the question: when will you realize that confidence and money velocity increases are taking place? Read the Wall Street Journal and other newspapers and sources known for their financial sections and check the Consumer Confidence Index's numbers. These numbers are known as ''leading indicators'' and reveal economic trends well before they are observed by hard data.

The other foremost financial guides that show change earlier than the economy changes are: the Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Indicators, Retail Sales Index, the National Association of Purchasing Management Index (NAPM), Curable Goods Order report, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reports, Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports, Employment Cost Index (ECI) and the Productivity Report which checked how much output is created by a unit of labor. Provided by Cool Checks - 23212

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Fundamental & Technical Analysis for Forex Trading

By Hass67

People are leaving stocks and turning towards forex in droves. Forex trading is the new fad. Many new gurus have appeared who are paddling their forex trading courses to the general public. If these gurus had made their fortunes from trading forex they need not sell courses. These gurus are only making money from the sales of their course.

According to these gurus, forex trading is easy. Buy the course and everything will be explained in an easy and step by step manner. These gurus are only selling their courses. No doubt, internet has made forex trading possible from anywhere in the world. But is it easy.

But these gurus are never going to tell you that 95% of the new traders do not survive more than six months. Only 5% will ever become winning traders. 95% will take the plunge on the advice of these gurus, lose their hard earned money and give up. Forex markets are unforgiving. It slaughters inexperienced traders.

Why do so many new traders fail? Simple; they dont try to educate themselves properly about forex. They will read one or two eBooks. The gurus will tell them very simple things. They will believe the gurus. Take the plunge in the stormy waters and drown in a short time.

You need to understand how the forex markets work. What are the economic factors that move the currency markets? How interest rates, GDFP growth, unemployment ratios affect the currency markets. As long as you dont develop this gut feeling, you should not start trading forex.

It is essential for you to understand fundamental and technical analysis before you take your plunge into the brutal forex markets. Fundamental analysis is based on the study of the underlying factors that affect the forex markets. It predicts the movement of the currency markets in the long term.

Technical analysis studies the past behavior of prices to predict the future behavior of prices. You need to master technical analysis if you are thinking of becoming a day trader. Technical analysis is ideally suited to forex markets.

Understand the indicators that are used extensively in Technical Analysis. Master them in order to determine the short term and long term expected behavior of the market. Technical analysis will also tell you what the best entry is and what the best exit point for a particular trade is. It is essential that you master technical analysis if you are really serious about forex trading.

If you have been previously trading stocks than you can switch to forex trading much faster. But always remember as long as you dont make forex trading passion of your life, you wont succeed at it. Learn everything about forex, make it a passion and you will develop into a winning trader. - 23212

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Are Great Traders Born?

By Hass67

Can you become a great forex trader? Surely you can. Only, if you have a good trading plan: based on a winning trading strategy. Entering the forex markets without a well thought trading plan will get you crushed in no time.

Let me tell you about a great experiment in history. This experiment is a perfect example of developing and then implementing a winning trading plan. This experiment was known as Turtle Traders Experiment.

Richard Dennis and Bill Eckhardt were two partners, great traders and commodities speculators. Both were arguing one day in the year 1983 whether great traders were made or were born.

Bill was saying that great traders could only be born and not made. Richard had the opinion that great traders could be made through good training. To settle the argument, both agreed to select and then train a few traders to see the trading results after training.

An advertisement was made in Wall Street Journal, Barrons and The New York Times. 1000 applications were received. The great Turtle Trading Experiment had begun in history.

After short listing only 80 were called for interviews. In the end only 13 traders were selected for the training. The students were called Turtles.

The students were trained and given a complete trading plan alongwith the rules how to apply it. Richard always would say: I give these rules to anyone. But as long as that person is not consistent in applying those rules no matter how tough the situation, they are useless.

So, the actual success in trading whether forex, stocks, commodities or futures lies in having a good trading plan; You need to have a trading plan that is exact. In other words is mechanical and ruled based does not depend on your emotions. Learn to control your emotions in trading.

In the end, it is discipline and consistency that will make you a winning forex trader in applying your trading plan. Who says, you cannot become a Great Trader! - 23212

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Do not invest in real estate....unless you want to make long term money!!!

By Doc Schmyz

Have you heard these "bits of advice"????This is not a good time to look at property investment? Now is not a good time to invest in the stock market? Now is not a good time to buy oil futures? We have heard this from every "GURU" on the nightly news. Just because everyone is screaming it...does not make it true. Now is the time to go against the flow of popular opinion and buy an investment. The risk must, however, be a reasoned one and never spend the rent money on risky things.

If you are willing to move against the flow you must seek out deals and only buy bargains. Property investment is great because you can feel the permanence of your investment and over time real estate has proved itself to be a solid money maker. Contrary to all the latter day negative gearing you need to make sure of a positive cash flow. Rents must give a return on investment. Simply put.... you do not buy at silly prices you buy only when the figures give you a return. You don't have to love the investment...just enjoy the cash flow it brings in.

With the current feeling of uncertainty, buying bargains is not difficult. Foreclosures are not nice for anyone to deal with and being a buyer at a foreclosure or mortgagee sale can make you feel very uncomfortable and even intimidated. These properties do have to be sold though and foreclosures will work to an investor's advantage. Its just bargain shopping on a bigger scale.

You don't have to work with just foreclosures. Many people got into the property investment business over the last few years with the promise of easy profits and now feel worried and insecure with mortgages over their family homes or repayment bills that will not lessen in the near future. They just want to quit the game no matter what and will take a loss to set themselves out. Just do not make the same mistake they made. Do the math!! Get a return on your investment. Lastly have the right mind set which is to buy for the long term. Property investment is a long term game and very lucrative over a long period. Just make certain that you are happy and secure with a long term investment and you will really cash in when the next real estate price surge hits. - 23212

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The simple and easy to use Forex trading platform

By Collin De Ruyck

The eToro Forex Trading Platform is by far one of the best I have used to date for foreign exchange trading. When I started trading currency just over a year ago I was completely lost with the system I was using - it was very complex. Now that I am using the eToro forex trading platform my trading experience has got a ton better and profitable!

eToro has one of the most innovative and creative approaches to trading forex online that I have seen to date. The knowledge that is passed onto you through eToro's free training guides make there system a almost no brainier for anyone who wants to make money foreign exchange trading.

A process made simple with eToro's trading platform.

The first thing I noticed when I started using the forex trading platform from eToro was how simple it was to follow and use. What I even liked more was the fact there is a training section, so you can download the trading platform (for free) and practice trading currency till your blue in the face before you actually start using your own money. That is great for anyone who wants to learn what to do with out spending a dime on there trading education.

How to get going with eToro.

eToro is a great place for anyone who wants to get a new career and do it with trading forex. Now, I am going to cover how you can download the the system from eToro and get your self rolling! - 23212

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