Breakout Fading Explained (Part II)
There must be a seller for each buyer and a buyer for each seller. If there is so much market demand to buy above a resistance level or sell below the support, the broker acting as the market maker has to absorb all these orders. However, you must know that the market maker is not a fool.
Most of the retail traders being new or inexperienced individual investor like to trade the breakouts! The new traders learn technical analysis. They tend to most eagerly follow trade recommendations based on certain chart patterns recommended in the technical analysis courses.
Most of the successful traders are contrarian in their trading approach. The seasoned traders do exactly the opposite of what the crowd is expected to do. They prefer to fade breakouts.
For every loser, there is a winner. Trading is a zero sum game. Most of the breakouts fail because the institutional or the seasoned traders take advantage of the crowd psychology of the retail or inexperienced traders and win at their expense.
Lets understand the tricks that can be played by the institutional dealers and traders. Their game plan is simple. Market markets mostly the forex dealers and brokers can fade breakouts. They will make money from the majority of the crowd who thinks that prices will rally happily after an upside breakout. Similarly, it will decline dangerously after a downside breakout.
Whether you like it or not, market makers have to take the opposite side of your trade. They are the pricing counterparties to the retail traders like you and me. Suppose most of the retail traders have placed their stop entry orders at a certain price above the resistance level anticipating a breakout.
Market makers reach into their pockets and spend some of their money to bid up the price to that level where most of the stop entry levels have been placed. Now they can sell to most of the traders who are desperate to buy thus making some decent profits from this trick.
By selling to the retail crowd, market makers get the chance to close their long positions. Now they begin to overwhelm the buying crowd by going short. This pushes the prices down, below the breakout level. Many stop loss orders have been placed by the retail traders who wanted to trade the upside breakout at this price level.
Market makers happily offload their short positions now by buying from the retail traders who are selling to close their losing breakout trades. Market makers have the information of their customers orders from their order book. Thus a potential conflict of interest exists and retail traders must know how to protect themselves.
Market makers often go on the stop hunting spree. False breakouts maybe the consequence of that! Retail crowd thinks that the false breakout is due to the sudden turning of the market. These false breakouts are most likely the direct result of the games market makers play. - 23212
Most of the retail traders being new or inexperienced individual investor like to trade the breakouts! The new traders learn technical analysis. They tend to most eagerly follow trade recommendations based on certain chart patterns recommended in the technical analysis courses.
Most of the successful traders are contrarian in their trading approach. The seasoned traders do exactly the opposite of what the crowd is expected to do. They prefer to fade breakouts.
For every loser, there is a winner. Trading is a zero sum game. Most of the breakouts fail because the institutional or the seasoned traders take advantage of the crowd psychology of the retail or inexperienced traders and win at their expense.
Lets understand the tricks that can be played by the institutional dealers and traders. Their game plan is simple. Market markets mostly the forex dealers and brokers can fade breakouts. They will make money from the majority of the crowd who thinks that prices will rally happily after an upside breakout. Similarly, it will decline dangerously after a downside breakout.
Whether you like it or not, market makers have to take the opposite side of your trade. They are the pricing counterparties to the retail traders like you and me. Suppose most of the retail traders have placed their stop entry orders at a certain price above the resistance level anticipating a breakout.
Market makers reach into their pockets and spend some of their money to bid up the price to that level where most of the stop entry levels have been placed. Now they can sell to most of the traders who are desperate to buy thus making some decent profits from this trick.
By selling to the retail crowd, market makers get the chance to close their long positions. Now they begin to overwhelm the buying crowd by going short. This pushes the prices down, below the breakout level. Many stop loss orders have been placed by the retail traders who wanted to trade the upside breakout at this price level.
Market makers happily offload their short positions now by buying from the retail traders who are selling to close their losing breakout trades. Market makers have the information of their customers orders from their order book. Thus a potential conflict of interest exists and retail traders must know how to protect themselves.
Market makers often go on the stop hunting spree. False breakouts maybe the consequence of that! Retail crowd thinks that the false breakout is due to the sudden turning of the market. These false breakouts are most likely the direct result of the games market makers play. - 23212
About the Author:
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading stocks and currencies. Know These Forex Broker Games. Learn Forex Trading!
posted by X - Men @ 4:59 AM
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